Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002112 0.002224 0.002343 0.002478 0.002628 0.002791 0.002982
2025-03-09 0.001905 0.002055 0.002222 0.002422 0.002657 0.002930 0.003275
2025-03-16 0.001810 0.001992 0.002201 0.002462 0.002787 0.003187 0.003734
2025-03-23 0.001733 0.001936 0.002177 0.002489 0.002895 0.003424 0.004204
2025-03-30 0.001647 0.001861 0.002119 0.002464 0.002928 0.003562 0.004558
2025-04-06 0.001560 0.001776 0.002042 0.002403 0.002904 0.003612 0.004786
2025-04-13 0.001500 0.001721 0.001996 0.002379 0.002924 0.003724 0.005128
2025-04-20 0.001411 0.001624 0.001892 0.002267 0.002808 0.003616 0.005074
2025-04-27 0.001374 0.001592 0.001869 0.002265 0.002849 0.003754 0.005483
2025-05-04 0.001358 0.001586 0.001880 0.002309 0.002962 0.004019 0.006208
2025-05-11 0.001327 0.001558 0.001860 0.002306 0.003001 0.004166 0.006734
2025-05-18 0.001312 0.001550 0.001865 0.002341 0.003103 0.004437 0.007647
2025-05-25 0.001276 0.001514 0.001833 0.002319 0.003114 0.004553 0.008259
2025-06-01 0.001235 0.001470 0.001788 0.002277 0.003088 0.004594 0.008694
2025-06-08 0.001223 0.001465 0.001796 0.002316 0.003204 0.004944 0.010302
2025-06-15 0.001207 0.001454 0.001795 0.002341 0.003299 0.005269 0.012172
2025-06-22 0.001178 0.001424 0.001766 0.002319 0.003305 0.005397 0.013403
2025-06-29 0.001143 0.001383 0.001719 0.002265 0.003247 0.005362 0.013853
2025-07-06 0.001119 0.001358 0.001693 0.002243 0.003248 0.005473 0.015243
2025-07-13 0.001074 0.001302 0.001621 0.002143 0.003090 0.005163 0.013929
2025-07-20 0.001058 0.001286 0.001609 0.002141 0.003123 0.005349 0.015884
2025-07-27 0.001053 0.001287 0.001621 0.002180 0.003242 0.005787 0.020753
2025-08-03 0.001038 0.001272 0.001609 0.002178 0.003276 0.006001 0.024738